NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 02, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Batchelor | 16 | 28 | 69.6% | 1 | 32.3 | 1 |
| 2 | Nick Boucher | 14 | 28 | 60.9% | 2 | 31.7 | 2 |
| 3 | Andrew Moeller | 13 | 28 | 56.5% | 3 | 26.0 | 5 |
| 4 | Dan Ellenberger | 11 | 28 | 47.8% | 4 | 22.7 | 7 |
| 4 | Karl Loiseau | 11 | 28 | 47.8% | 4 | 26.6 | 3 |
| 4 | Mike Thorne | 11 | 27 | 45.8% | 6 | 23.2 | 6 |
| 7 | Steve Creaser | 10 | 29 | 45.5% | 7 | 26.4 | 4 |
| 8 | Matt Hogel | 9 | 29 | 40.9% | 8 | 21.1 | 10 |
| 8 | Luke Phelan | 9 | 28 | 39.1% | 9 | 22.1 | 8 |
| 8 | Gavin Gray | 9 | 27 | 37.5% | 10 | 21.2 | 9 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 14.1 | @ NYJ | 0.86 |
| New York Giants | 6 | 10.2 | BYE | |
| New England Patriots | 4 | 8.0 | IND | 0.69 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 7 | 14.5 | @ HOU | 0.88 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 11.1 | @ NO | 0.59 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 6.1 | LV | 0.45 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 6 | 11.4 | @ WAS | 0.62 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 7.2 | MIN | 0.38 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 7.4 | SEA | 0.57 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| New York Jets | 5 | 9.2 | BUF | 0.14 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 6.2 | BYE | |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 7.3 | @ TB | 0.41 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 9.0 | @ ATL | 0.62 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 4 | 10.0 | BYE | |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 7.6 | BYE | |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 12.4 | BYE | |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 5.5 | @ NE | 0.31 |
| Carolina Panthers | 2 | 5.3 | @ CIN | 0.25 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 13.1 | TEN | 0.86 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 5.9 | MIA | 0.33 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 7.4 | @ JAK | 0.55 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 9.0 | CAR | 0.75 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 7.4 | BAL | 0.41 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 4.8 | BYE | |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 5 | 9.7 | @ CHI | 0.67 |
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 8.5 | @ DET | 0.62 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 3.9 | PHI | 0.12 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Tennessee Titans | 5 | 8.8 | @ KC | 0.14 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 8.2 | LAR | 0.59 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 4.1 | GB | 0.38 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 1 |
| New England Patriots | 4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 6 | 27 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 7 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 13 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| New York Jets | 5 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 8 | 5 | -1 | 8 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 4 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 3 | 14 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| Carolina Panthers | 2 | 23 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 16 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| Tennessee Titans | 5 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Detroit Lions | 1 | 25 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| Miami Dolphins | 5 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 26 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 | 22 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
Draft Results
